Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.007967 0.008958 0.010041 0.011315 0.012775 0.014401 0.016354
2025-01-26 0.006351 0.007687 0.009273 0.011307 0.013863 0.016991 0.021140
2025-02-02 0.005688 0.007232 0.009172 0.011813 0.015352 0.019983 0.026590
2025-02-09 0.005011 0.006619 0.008731 0.011745 0.015997 0.021875 0.030777
2025-02-16 0.004555 0.006218 0.008486 0.011860 0.016841 0.024070 0.035632
2025-02-23 0.004103 0.005759 0.008093 0.011688 0.017211 0.025578 0.039620
2025-03-02 0.003820 0.005503 0.007948 0.011844 0.018058 0.027870 0.045128
2025-03-09 0.003518 0.005185 0.007674 0.011758 0.018496 0.029539 0.049816
2025-03-16 0.003163 0.004753 0.007180 0.011266 0.018205 0.029951 0.052343
2025-03-23 0.002949 0.004519 0.006971 0.011208 0.018620 0.031592 0.057309
2025-03-30 0.002878 0.004502 0.007103 0.011724 0.020071 0.035224 0.066590
2025-04-06 0.002641 0.004198 0.006736 0.011343 0.019874 0.035802 0.069899
2025-04-13 0.002434 0.003933 0.006427 0.011055 0.019855 0.036793 0.074402
2025-04-20 0.002294 0.003772 0.006283 0.011056 0.020391 0.038956 0.081845
2025-04-27 0.002246 0.003763 0.006400 0.011549 0.021937 0.043365 0.095134
2025-05-04 0.002118 0.003604 0.006235 0.011483 0.022349 0.045447 0.103383
2025-05-11 0.002026 0.003502 0.006165 0.011594 0.023137 0.048451 0.114469
2025-05-18 0.001906 0.003339 0.005967 0.011427 0.023306 0.050078 0.122351
2025-05-25 0.001836 0.003264 0.005927 0.011579 0.024189 0.053481 0.135654
2025-06-01 0.001743 0.003139 0.005782 0.011495 0.024529 0.055633 0.145955
2025-06-08 0.001614 0.002934 0.005465 0.011015 0.023903 0.055318 0.149092
2025-06-15 0.001540 0.002832 0.005348 0.010959 0.024268 0.057562 0.160353
2025-06-22 0.001528 0.002853 0.005478 0.011462 0.026041 0.063733 0.185247